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Foreign Exchange

FX weekly: Did Powell just run for the hills?

20. Jun 2021∣Andreas Steno Larsen, Martin Enlund

The AIT-regime already looks shaky, and our early tapering calls are now almost alarmingly consensus. Are we about to experience a 2013/2014 market development all over again or will Fed forward guidance be different this time? We like USDSEK longs.

Fixed Income

Bonds & bold: Here is how to position yourself for tapering!

18. Jun 2021∣Anders Skytte Aalund, Andreas Steno Larsen

The initial reaction to the tapering signals from Fed is that it’s toxic news for Danish bonds. We believe the opposite is the case as this might ultimately provide a relief to the DKK market. Add to this a 2Y2Y 4Y2Y 6Y3Y EUR fly and enjoy the summer

Economics

Biweekly Corona Update: Norway enter 3 phase of their reopening - DK and Finland to vaccinate children in age of 12-15

18. Jun 2021∣Mathias Thaysen Henriksen, Jesper Rasmussen, Andreas Steno Larsen, Carl Christian Lydert Brorsen

Today it has been announced that Norway will take 3rd step in their reopening plan by the 20th of June.

Economics

Week ahead: Don’t get carry(d) away by the summer weather

18. Jun 2021∣Andreas Steno Larsen, Martin Enlund, Mikael Sarwe

It’s not only your own belly that risks a sunburn this summer. The yield curve belly is clearly at risk of getting burned as well, in particular if we start to get convincing signals from the labour market. We are now actively debating tapering.

Sweden: Historical government crisis

17. Jun 2021∣Torbjörn Isaksson

SEK rates (THURSDAY1500): The sphinx-like curve slope

17. Jun 2021∣Mats Hydén

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