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Week Ahead: US inflation has arrived

15. Oct 2021∣Mikael Sarwe, Andreas Steno Larsen, Martin Enlund

We cannot remember a week with so much evidence that our longstanding “anti-transitory” US inflation view is correct, but the Fed has interpretive precedence over us. Q4 is starting out in risk-on mode, which is reasonable, but expect a noisier 2022.

SEK rates (THURSDAY1500): Policy information deficit

14. Oct 2021∣Mats Hydén

The value in receiving SEK 0-5y is obviously linked to policy info given in November (the mix and timing of future QT and hikes). Covereds 0-3y are too rich in our view. Some interesting charts on inflation also included.

EUR Rates: ECB sequencing and the steep front-end

14. Oct 2021∣Anders Svendsen

Market pricing question current ECB guidance on the sequencing. With everything that is happening to inflation and wage growth, could central banks be forced to / choose to hike rates before tapering is done?

USD Inflation Preview: The Median CPI will allow for a hawkish Fed

13. Oct 2021∣Helene Østergaard, Andreas Steno Larsen

Rising energy prices and a continued weak supply of labor due to Covid may lead to yet another wave of inflation in supply-constrained sectors over the coming months. US inflation may start rising during Q4 again with tapering around the corner.

Major forecasts: Stagflation?

13. Oct 2021∣Jan von Gerich, Andreas Steno Larsen, Philip Maldia Madsen

DKK: Measure twice, cut once

12. Oct 2021∣Andreas Steno Larsen, Anders Skytte Aalund

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