Financial analysis, trends, insight into Nordic markets

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Rate cuts to zero and huge amounts of excess liquidity have hammered Nibor to record low levels. The market expects these extreme levels to hold for the next couple of years, but we are not so sure even with Norges Bank stuck at zero.

Fixed Income

Denmark: Financing requirements swell – but so do funding sources

25. May 2020∣Jan Størup Nielsen

New estimates points to an increase in financing requirement of more than DKK 200bn in just five months. However, the target for Danish government bond issuance will most likely be kept unchanged as the central bank has been prefunding.

Economics

Swedish Macro Review: Big drop in employment and hours

25. May 2020∣Susanne Spector

Unemployment stood at 7.9% in April. Employment decreased by 0.9% on the month and 1.9% over the year. The number of hours worked dropped even more, suggesting a much deeper downturn on the labour market than the headline unemployment suggests.

Economics

ECB Watch: Hawks still see upside inflation risks

22. May 2020∣Jan von Gerich, Tuuli Koivu, Inge Klaver, Anders Svendsen

Today’s monetary policy account signals the ECB stands ready to do more but amidst all the uncertainty, it is difficult to see ahead. More easing measures will likely be introduced in June.

Euro area Macro Flash: PMIs remain below 50

21. May 2020∣Anders Svendsen, Inge Klaver, Tuuli Koivu, Jan von Gerich

SEK & NOK forecast update: Good value down the road

20. May 2020∣Andreas Steno Larsen, Joachim Bernhardsen

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