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Foreign Exchange

FX weekly: The QE train to… nowhere?

20. Oct 2019∣Martin Enlund, Joachim Bernhardsen, Andreas Steno Larsen

We worry about the QE psychology out there, but wonder how far, and where, can the QE train really go if it’s not really QE? The NOK is weak, but a turn-around looks more likely for 2020 than 2019. We enter a long EUR/SEK position ahead of Riksbank.

Economics

Week ahead: Come to the dark side, we have cookies

18. Oct 2019∣Martin Enlund, Andreas Steno Larsen

• Re-steepened yield curve potentially a worrisome sign • Will Trump get to be the Grinch for the Chinese? • ISM a GM fluke? We think risk/reward favours betting on not

Economics

Sweden: The Labour Force Shuffle

18. Oct 2019∣Susanne Spector, Torbjörn Isaksson

The situation on the labour market is deteriorating, but at what pace? And what does it mean for the Riksbank?

Economics

CBR preview: Decisive easing

18. Oct 2019∣Tatiana Evdokimova

Next Friday Bank of Russia will choose between -25bp and -50bp cut. Weak inflation outlook prompts front-loaded easing. We believe the regulator may go big and cut the key rate by 50bp on 25 October.

China: Q3 GDP lower than expected

18. Oct 2019∣Inge Klaver, Tuuli Koivu

EUR Rates Flash

18. Oct 2019∣Juha Vainikainen

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