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* Momentum towards negative € rates across the curve * ECB cut priced in, but the ultra-long end is driving the market * Long-dated EONIA/3m basis widening on falling rates * Correction to the narrowing trend in swap spreads

Fixed Income

NGB: Auction preview NGB 2029

25. Feb 2020∣Joachim Bernhardsen

Norges Bank will auction NOK 3bn in NGB 2029 Wednesday. We take a closer look at ownership and pricing in the attachment.

Foreign Exchange

FX weekly: Get ready for USD yield curve control

23. Feb 2020∣Andreas Steno Larsen, Martin Enlund, Joachim Bernhardsen

China is still effectively closed, why the market rightfully almost ignored the rebound in the Euro area PMI. The Fed is openly discussing YCC as an “anti-recession” weapon. Massive good news for Gold and maybe bad news for USD down the road.

Economics

Riksbank Watch Review: Minutes indicate balance sheet expansion as first measure

21. Feb 2020∣Torbjörn Isaksson

The Riksbank opens up for buying other assets than government bonds if the economy disappoints.

Week ahead: Dude, where’s my car(s)?

21. Feb 2020∣Andreas Steno Larsen, Martin Enlund

Russia view: Demographic trap

21. Feb 2020∣Tatiana Evdokimova, Grigory Zhirnov

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